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a_yawning_cat's profile
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@a_yawning_cat

stray thoughts, loosely held. rat jaeger.

California, USA
aycat.substack.com
Joined December 2018

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    1. Evgenii‏ @gene_minkov Apr 17

      Kelly Criterion is a curse when it comes to cryptoinvesting You buy a meme for lulz -> It grows tenfold -> Your crypto share of total capital is too big -> 3 options: a) sell b) increase "safe" capital (somehow) c) be a hypocrite

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Evgenii‏ @gene_minkov May 13

      Kelly Criterion is alright when it comes to normieinvesting Set a boundary of 20% max capital -> Buy tech and a few memes -> Forget Most investors never outperform market AND lose money long-term So focusing on maintaining a boundary gamifies the experience and eases the stress

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Evgenii‏ @gene_minkov May 19

      Evgenii Retweeted  🐈

      Kelly Criterion: an Example In this theory, your edge is 10%, so max KC would be 30% of bankroll …https://stock-analyzer-ibfzk28je-theory-a.vercel.app/  byhttps://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1395039658187259907?s=20 …

      Evgenii added,

       🐈 @a_yawning_cat
      u can have access to my personal volatility roller coaster to experiment w/ your personal psychology: …https://stock-analyzer-ibfzk28je-theory-a.vercel.app/  https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1383129373608275968 … pic.twitter.com/cRGanVsX93
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 19
      Replying to @gene_minkov

      fyi i've been using busd & usdc as safe capital and it seems to be holding alright

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Evgenii‏ @gene_minkov May 19
      Replying to @a_yawning_cat

      Ikr! I am personally from Tether crew though A pleasant surprise

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
       🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 19
      Replying to @gene_minkov

       🐈 Retweeted Patrick McKenzie

      saw a lot of this stuff around tether back then. didn't understand any of it so wasn't able to lock down any gains in the 2017/2018 run - -;https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1051560132235030528?s=20 …

       🐈 added,

      Patrick McKenzie @patio11
      Tether, the cryptocurrency which is theoretically backed 1:1 by USD held in a bank account and available on demand, is currently in the early stages of a bank run.
      Show this thread
      8:50 AM - 19 May 2021
      • 1 Like
      • Evgenii
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Evgenii‏ @gene_minkov May 19
          Replying to @a_yawning_cat

          Evgenii Retweeted Alex Becker  🍊 🏆 🥇

          You may lose all respect for me if any, but I honestly believe it's not worth understanding beyond the heuristcs level As in every skill has a price, and gains from "deep" managing money skill are insignificant compared to, say, creator skillshttps://twitter.com/ZssBecker/status/1395025339676598277?s=20 …

          Evgenii added,

          Alex Becker  🍊 🏆 🥇 @ZssBecker
          Someone said "Alex your having fun cuz your already rich. We are not". There's NEVER been a point in history where people who build things of value consistently were out paced by people who gambled on assets. Ever. If this is your shot at getting rich, your doing this wrong.
          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 19
          Replying to @gene_minkov

          true, not acting bc lack of a clear model and only heuristics is the default of doing nothing and that has risk too

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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