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@a_yawning_cat

stray thoughts, loosely held. rat jaeger.

California, USA
aycat.substack.com
Joined December 2018

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     🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 11

    just as dripping water bores through rock, asset rotation/rebalancing gradually increases the value difference between "good" ideas and "bad" ideas (in theory)

    8:06 AM - 11 May 2021
    • 1 Like
    • ᴄʏʙᴇʀɴᴇᴛɪᴄ 💔 sᴜʀᴠᴇɪʟʟᴀɴᴛ
    2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 11

        e.g. take gamestock. the "smart" risk takers will make a lot of money. that money then 'smartly' goes into other assets. the "dumb" risk takers who don't get out in time don't have money. thus the allocation efforts over time gets "smarter"

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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      3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 11

        in practice there is a lot of luck and group think involved. e.g. the musk fanatic who dropped everything and yoloed into doge the moment the first tweet dropped made the most the smart risk taking being incentivized also may just realize pumping ponzis is the "smartest" way

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 11

        this is also quite rational. monopolies, scams, etc... are the lowest form of risk. if risk taking money making skill is incentivized, legal theft w/ a lot of extra steps is basically lowest risk. (b/c the black swan event of getting 'caught' can't be priced in since it's legal!)

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 11

         🐈 Retweeted  🐈

        most people who hate doge millionaires for e.g. probably *wouldn't* if they themselves were a doge millionaire.https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1363742122675871744?s=20 …

         🐈 added,

         🐈 @a_yawning_cat
        here is where the shadow projection comes in: people who buy lottery tickets are being "greedy". and "wall street" is punishing this "irrational greed" by bleeding them dry until they "wise up" and stop being stupid.
        Show this thread
        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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      6.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 11

        being able to figure out a "system" that extracts value w/ minimal effort (a peter thiel style monopoly) is considered a virtue as is becoming the chosen one lottery style.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ryan Qasem‏ @RyanQasem May 12
        Replying to @a_yawning_cat

        What’s “asset rotation/rebalancing”

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 12
        Replying to @RyanQasem

        e.g. selling stocks when they go up and buying when they down to maintain the same stock : cash ratio is portfolio rebalancing. if this happens at a macro level it can be thought of as a rotation. the cash is flowing around chasing different things

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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