imo no one is "lying" about inflation bc so much money is "frozen" in assets outside control of Central so it's impossible to predict when and where these assets will unfreeze and inject pressure into
so every "oracle" is actually trying to predict a future that the predictions themselves affect b/c the future cannot be predicted w/o affecting it, the most they can strive for is a self-fulfilling prophecy via "best way to predict future is to create it"