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@a_yawning_cat

stray thoughts, loosely held. rat jaeger.

California, USA
aycat.substack.com
Joined December 2018

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    1.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

      an argument for why dogecoin is correctly priced:

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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    2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

      market price does NOT reflect real value because there is no such thing as "real value". there is only the constant volatility of current market price, even for commodities like rice or electricity. the band is narrower, but it is still always in flux.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

      when going shopping to costco or whole foods, the business actually creates a mini-market with stable prices. it interfaces with the REAL market and acts as a buffer so that you can rely on stable prices.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

       🐈 Retweeted  🐈

      real market price is always a function of real time supply and demand. if there is demand despite dwindling supply, then prices go up.https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1389466440835555332 …

       🐈 added,

       🐈 @a_yawning_cat
      another reason price control is important is b/c stability in a free market, demand chasing dwindling supply creates temporary spikes as everyone tries to buy the last charizard card (bc nostalgia for the beauty of the Past is the only thing that will prevent suicidal thoughts)
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

      a restaurant or store can purposely create a waiting line outside to attract demand. the limited supply is artificial. this can attract real demand (hoomans r herd animals) which creates real limited supply

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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       🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

      even though this feels "fake" it is NOT. the entire fashion industry works this way and more abstractly.. the entire notion of Popularity or Coolness itself relies on this "fakeness" to operate

      9:31 AM - 6 May 2021
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          thus dogecoin's market price DOES reflect correctly its current popularity and coolness. it just does not correctly reflect marketCAP which is just current price multiplied by outstanding doges

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          but WHY is marketcap even calculated like that anyway? it doesn't make sense to take a price that is only accurate in the present moment and multiply it across all doges across all history in all wallets it's like having a marketcap for rice, or water.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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        4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          and this... is GOOD fashion/popularity/coolness is good because it's bubbles and bursts actually contribute quite a bit to culture. "man cannot live by bread alone"

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          just like a huge price spike triggers margin calls and wipes out a hedge fund, spikes in attention focusing actually bring certain ideas into the collective conscious the discrete event carves deeply into reality producing real effects even if they r not ECONOMICALLY measurable

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        6.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          so the individuals buying dogecoin just for the sake of owning one are not so different than the individuals who buy luxury bags or diamonds or even gold yet we don't suddenly say that luxury brand companies and mining companies don't deserve their marketcap

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        7.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          the difference is that traditional companies that make money out of thin air via the artificial scarcity of fashion and popularity have a cashflows in fiat. because the flow of fiat is REAL then the company feels real

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        8.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          but crypto's whole argument is "my doge or whatever it is just bought is just as good as your dollar" or "my black clothing and vaping is just as good your straight A's and perfect SAT scores"

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        9.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          trying to force fit a model that doesn't make sense is like the clod father saying "hey, life is wonderful, stop cutting yourself and having suicidal thoughts, that's not rational." the feelings may not make sense but denying the reality of their existence makes less sense

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        10.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          you cannot look at real blood being spilt and just dismiss it just because you cannot understand it

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        11.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          this is not to say that the current price is sustainable. what i suspect is happening right now is that massive amounts of doge are now stuck behind people getting their ids validated so that they can transfer to an exchange and get some usd

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        12.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

           🐈 Retweeted  🐈

          once that supply hits, it will flood the demand and drive it back down, causing a panic which will increase supply even more, etc... etc...https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1389472515962019841 …

           🐈 added,

           🐈 @a_yawning_cat
          this FLOODS the market b/c now there is no one demanding because they all became suppliers. this creates the exact opposite of the previous demand chasing supply scenario as supply is not desperate for any demand. hence a falling knife.
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        13.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          the reason this is happening w/ doge more than other coins is because it was a joke coin so it was not supported by many exchanges. thus it has a supply bottleneck while the other coins do not. (also it's easy to just buy one doge as keepsake since the price is so small)

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        14.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          in that sense, the current price of doge is easily manipulated because the people active in the market are not representative of "real" buyers. just like if a few billionaires trade a few NFTs between themselves at millions of dollars to stoke the market

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        15.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          this again matches how real popularity/coolness works you need an elite group of hipsters to say "this is cool" BEFORE it gets actually cool.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        16.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          AND just like with fashion, the purpose of buying fashionable items is for sexiness and matchmaking AND in a world stuck inside with covid where others can't see what ur wearing "look at me i have the money of the future" is pretty darn sexy

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        17.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          in general, popularity pulsates like a wave out from a central Source. the closer you are to the Source the higher a price premium you have because you can act before the wave hits the masses and causes supply influx you want to be hipster BEFORE hipster is a word

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        18.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          this is valuable because it creates a hierarchy of value. you can signal that you are closer to Source or have the ability to identify Source. this can closeness to the Most Popular Kid, the Richest Dude, the Smartest, the Cult leader, whatever....

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        19.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat May 6

          all of these derive from the fundamental desire to be closer to "God" and because hoomans have killed God Above... their only remaining solace is to try and go to the moon

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        20. End of conversation

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