a lot of markets feel quite similar to debeers & diamonds. the total stock of stuff is accumulated/distributed in order to maintain a useful market price. like fat reserves & insulin response
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this holding would have done nothing with a "real" asset like say cheese. there's a cost to hoarding cheese so that the few wheels remaining on the market have super high prices. cheese goes bad, opportunity cost, etc...
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however b/c margin requirements are based on market price once that price (a temporary expression of real world accurate pricing, e.g. the guy who bought the cheese b/c it was the only cure to say his daughter's life) hits a certain level, the margin call causes liquidation
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thus by hodling cheese the cheese fans could fuck over the cheese haters who were trying to profit off of a prediction of a plague of upcoming cheese maggots
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(aside: lenders probably like to offer high leverage b/c they know it amplifies volatility, increasing the odds of a margin call since it can legally do so based on MARKET price not "True" price)
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this is similar to how the hoomans point to a pile of rubble and turn it into a priceless collectible Unicef Heritage. anything can become priceless if you want it to be.
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so interestingly enough, fat reserves have no real effect on the short term market price just like a mammal's metabolism doesn't really fluctuate that much except for expected bursts of activity like pouncing or climbing
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short term sudden changes can point to things like fasting/starvation and over consumption of simple carbs while long term changes can point to things like a healthy diet, anorexia, or clinical obesity
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market price only "snaps" into reality once these extremes are forced into legible realized naming. e.g. doctor saying "ur fat/anorexic & going to die" e.g. you go to buy some wood and there's nothing left and you exclaim "THAT was valuable???"
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basically, market price is pretty accurate as long as you are not caught in a squeeze or a frenzy where the target item is (discovered to be) scarce it's only when the market is saturated with the item that market price is accurate
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so profit involves accumulation in periods of supply abundance where it is considered mundane and distribution when it is considered rare and valuable the contrarianism of buying junk and selling valuables
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End of conversation
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