this is actually pretty fun to play and observe your mental reactions to winning/losinghttps://gamesfortraders.com/coin-challenge/
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here's a kelly that succeeds. it DID take a shorter time. 129 flips vs 300 but it felt MUCH longer because of the disheartening drops.pic.twitter.com/6iL63ZOfX8
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so while kelly betting does mathematically give you the greatest return in the shortest time, this is "clock time" vs "internal time". your internal state and how well you deal with frustration is much more important than the maximally fastest path
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My two goes at this I bet on heads every time (not knowing beforehand that it was better), bet ~50% each time and got there in 15 and 27 flips. DID I JUST PROVE KELLY WRONG?! (p-values aren't to be trusted, this is totally a legit conclusion)
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Fine. Try 3 took 83 flips. *huffs*
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