however at the end of the day it's gambling on the future. there isn't perfect price prediction. on the plus side, you have far fewer people competing in this domain so your particular life experiences and outlook may be an edge.
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this is why when you trade options you have to sign a bunch of papers to say "i'm not a fucking idiot that will blame other ppl when i predict the future wrong by going all in or ask for handouts to save me. i will nobly go to valhalla if God so demands."
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this is where you can point at the gme shorters and say 'u cowards, why don't you go to valhalla!' it's hypocritical b/c their business IS that of sending others to valhalla. they live by the sword but refuse to die by the sword.
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to steelman them however you could say that they have allies who come to their rescue when the hordes of orcs attack from the blind ignorant mordor. they unite to fight off retardedness.
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to steleman the orcs you could say that they are driven by desperation. they need to conquer because they are starving and dying and well.... they are the majority... it is their HOME that was invaded by the super-smart Assholes.
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notice the failure of humility on both sides. one side refuses to acknowledge themselves as smarter than average, humble bragging and deriding everyone else as stupid while refusing to take responsibility for the world, life, or humanity.
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the other side refuses to acknowledge their lack of understanding, pretending and YOLOing themselves into desperate situations playing w/ fire and then asking for handouts and expecting the smart ppl to do all the work for them like it was 1960s communist china.
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both sides refuse to love the other. the core reason? intelligence and the ability to deal with complexity has become the new God. there is no way to love when one side is closer to god than the other.
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those below feel shame and guilt looking up, starving those up above of love and making those above feel resentful and angry at the cold world. it's not a matter of willpower but an aspect of the existing hierarchy of value and how hooman emotions work.
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this is the other Ultimate Argument for Diversity. diversity across hierarchies of value allows for Love since individuals can be equidistant from God. within a giant ultra hierarchy of value everyone is slightly above or below everyone else.https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1359537327614226432 …
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this is why people don't like sharing salary numbers even if they're roughly in the same range. it's simply very hard to be friends with someone if you know they make more or less than you. your mind will intrusively brag or deride.
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"John may have won that argument but I make 20 dollars more per year than him!" "This place doesn't appreciate good ideas. Bob almost sunk that project w/ that mistake, why does he make 20 dollars more per year than me!"
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it's also an argument for why men/women should have different hierarchies of value. different hierarchies is what provides REAL equality.
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yet instead of solving the real problem of elevating the feminine hierarchy to equal status, the feminine hierarchy is ironically dismembered and integrated into the male one. in fact, all hierarchies are now being dismembered and integrated into the worship of intelligence
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this worship of the Above is primarily masculine while the care of the Below is primarily feminine. we need someone to take care of the dogs... b/c if every cat is me, then it's just a rather boring lifeless world filled with hyper rational assholes.https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1343323489990713344?s=20 …
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End of conversation
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