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a_yawning_cat's profile
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@a_yawning_cat

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@a_yawning_cat

stray thoughts, loosely held. rat jaeger.

California, USA
aycat.substack.com
Joined December 2018

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    1.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

       🐈 Retweeted SOMETHING ELSE.

      Great thread! though IMO enduring the lack of faith is part and parcel of a hero's journey since the end goal of the journey is a restoration of Faith.https://twitter.com/SylvanaquaFarms/status/1339876779851431936 …

       🐈 added,

      SOMETHING ELSE. @SylvanaquaFarms
      When things take off, those founders get stingy. And it’s kind of an understandable impulse: they took 90% of the risk, so why shouldn’t they take 90% of the reward if it works out? After all, workers wouldn’t have jobs without that risk having been taken...
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

       🐈 Retweeted  🐈

      Also, the wealth *is* (sorta)distributed since it's put to "work". The money of billionaires works on growing the market and thus growing the wealth of anyone who invests in it. Other 'good' side-effects as well:https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1341269410686726144 …

       🐈 added,

       🐈 @a_yawning_cat
      If you needed a GPS to locate you in the desert to save your life and a magical genie appears and offers to sell you one for 100K dollars, would you be grateful or angry? In a free market, the opportunity to buy is priced into the good!
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Show this thread
    3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

      Calculated "wealth" isn't actually liquid money that can be distributed. It's a low resolution estimation of how much of the economic machinery said billionaire owns using an assumption of instant liquidation not affecting prices.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

      That is to say... wealth for billionaires is mostly like a piece of paper saying how much A owns and how much B owns. Scribbling at the bottom "Now X, Y, Z own everything instead of A and B" doesn't actually do anything in the physical world!

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

      When most people think of wealth distribution they think a billionaire should fully liquidate their assets into cash and distribute it.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    6.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

      after all, if A sells to B the machinery still is running. no harm done to the machinery and billionaire still has lots of leftover cash to live and stuff

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Show this thread
    7.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

      However if you take 300 billion(roughly musk + bezos) and divide that amongst 300 million people(US pop.) What you get is ... 1000 dollars. That's *very* similar to the 600-2000 stimulus idea and that doesn't seem particularly sustainable long term.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    8.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

       🐈 Retweeted  🐈

      It doesn't "kickstart" the economic machinery but is just a temporary punt to stave off business starvations.https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1341482365432942592 …

       🐈 added,

       🐈 @a_yawning_cat
      So while manually sending out resources doesn't fix the long term problem, they do prevent the starvation issue. The issue is these resources come from inventory and inventory eventually runs out...
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
       🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

      What it *does* do however is it increases inflation and debases faith in the U.S. dollar globally. It is also like an earthquake for the existing social hierarchies that are based on wealth and power.

      10:55 PM - 24 Dec 2020
      • 1 Like
      • .
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          Billionaires themselves may not directly hold the world on their shoulders but there is ~~something~~ to ideas in Atlas Shrugged. The hierarchies of value that they head DO have outsized effect on the world. (and this is Pareto principle more than than Evil Illuminati)

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          The 1% are obviously biased here but there *is* something to the idea that a simple redistribution of wealth will *not* have the desired effects on creating a fairer society and may have unexpected negative downsides. e.g:

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          If you fully equalize the world and have have seen how hard and how smart people in China and India are working then you will realize that full equalization will NOT end well for the U.S. and many other rich countries.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          Billionaires and the "rich and unfair cabals" they lead are the equivalent of nuclear weapons in a world where economic warfare is the main form of warfare. The resulting hierarchy of value IS tyrannical in various ways.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        6.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          But so are the more meritocratic ones in the places like China and India. It's a huge pressure cooker, both socially, academically, and in the status signaling rat race. Being "better" than "them" allows "us" to *not* have to live like "them"

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        7.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

           🐈 Retweeted  🐈

          From a global perspective there is also probably a minor effect on slowing down market growth since market machinery has been turned into useless cash. e.g. the mechanism that makes (life saving?) goods cheaper across the world slows down a bit.https://twitter.com/a_yawning_cat/status/1341269410686726144 …

           🐈 added,

           🐈 @a_yawning_cat
          If you needed a GPS to locate you in the desert to save your life and a magical genie appears and offers to sell you one for 100K dollars, would you be grateful or angry? In a free market, the opportunity to buy is priced into the good!
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        8.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          again, probably a very small effect since even billionaires are small relative to the size of the entire system. all this implies that the super rich can't really solve said problems even if they have benefitted from the setup.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        9.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          One can WIN at monopoly but be helpless to change the rules since everyone insists on playing it. Why? Because people care about WINNING and monopoly allows for easy constant winning once you have enough capital.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        10.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          The board game is also entirely luck based so it's "fair" for all. High IQ can only get you so far! Many of the most successful wealth managers of the world are not quantum physicists. From a human perspective, this stability of "making it" is VERY tempting.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        11.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

           🐈 Retweeted SOMETHING ELSE.

          So aside from the problem of incentivizing risk exploration and innovation in the future there is still a *present* problem of how to fix the problem of people stuck in dead economic constant survival loops w/ no future.https://twitter.com/SylvanaquaFarms/status/1339876785962569728?s=20 …

           🐈 added,

          SOMETHING ELSE. @SylvanaquaFarms
          For all our American talk about being the land of the free and home of the brave, we plainfolk mostly live in prisons of economic fear. Fear of destitution, becoming a burden on our friends and family, becoming an object of shame or ridicule in the age of social media...
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        12.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          This is *especially* true for the "complacent" people in rich societies. The cost of living is high and in a globally connected society where more and more work is information work, they have NO competitive edge.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        13.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          They're effectively handicapped relative to the competitiveness of the global workforce. Maintaining their lifestyle requires literal hand-outs unless they fix the problem of being non competitive or the problem of cost of living.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        14.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          Digital nomadism and trading on Robinhood are not as escapist or dumb as you might think at first glance. They are very intuitive reactions against how the system is currently setup. If you *know* monopoly is a boring game, your house rules will change to make the game interestin

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        15.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          Moving to a cheaper country lowers COL while skills r equalized in gambling. No amount of PHDs is going to help you win a coin flip contest. (and there is actually an edge for momentum trading since young blood has more accurate coolness radar)

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        16.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          So while it can be tempting to believe the biggest players can do something about *gestures around pointing at everything*, often times they too are very small players relative to the size of the whole system.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        17.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 24 Dec 2020

          However, I have discovered a truly marvelous solution for this, which this margin is too narrow to contain as twitter threads max out at 25 a set.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          Show this thread
        18. End of conversation

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