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@a_yawning_cat

stray thoughts, loosely held. rat jaeger.

California, USA
aycat.substack.com
Joined December 2018

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    1.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      Another view is that Gold is worthless because it doesn't do anything except look pretty. This view seems pretty wrong to me since it's based on an implicit assumption that doing stuff is worth more than doing nothing.

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    2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      While this has been true at times (e.g. during the Great Depression people just didn't have anything to do, no way to coordinate, no wars to fight for gold.) it seems pretty obvious that sometimes we should stop doing some stuff.

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    3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      Ever play a game where you character go become invincible or "phase out" for a second or so? Usually a move to dodge an attack. Gold is like this, it's a way to prevent being affected by Stuff.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      Gold can be thought of as a "Carry Trade", borrowing at low interest rates to invest at higher returns. Ironically this is similar to Warren Buffet's trading methodology of massive leveraged capital deployment investing in super solid companies. (link?)

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    5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      Buffet doesn't need gold as long as there are Obviously Good Buys. If gold is like putting your wealth into stasis, Buffet's strategy is like turning wealth into a literal haven like a house, or a soybean farm. Something people *need*.

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    6.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      (Possible side thread here where despite physical safety people are "dying" due to loneliness and lack of psychic safety. Physical haven vs spiritual haven. Gold as Jesus, Bitcoin as the new messiah.)

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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    7.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      There's a difference here between a Haven and a Crisis asset. A crisis asset is like Guns... stuff that goes up in value when you expect shit to hit the fan. A Haven doesn't necessarily expect to fight. It tries to weather the storm, not create a new world order.

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    8.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      A haven asset eventually plans to flow back into a higher yield expansionary asset (like shares in the kingdom) once the bullshit is over. (e.g. price discovery is broken)

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    9.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      Since the Ark of Gold has limited room, the price of haven assets goes up just like the last few tickets of a concert are more expensive.

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    10.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      A successful transition from haven <=> reality depends on how skilled one is at gauging the accuracy of the price discovery mechanism. (Due to popularity of index funds IMO everything is blurred and unclear.)

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       🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

      Bitcoin's value as a now is probably mostly due to the Crowd's inability to distinguish between a haven and a crisis asset. When everyone is rushing to the Ark most people just assume the world is ending.

      11:35 PM - 27 Nov 2020
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        2.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          Long term it has potential to grow but only because Goldbugs start dying (or change their minds). As of now, it's probably still a crisis asset similar to guns.

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        3.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          It's somewhat stupid but also very forward looking. It's like those people who bought gallons of water at the start of COVID. If society breaks down to the point where such basic infrastructure is threatened...then you're really underpreparing...

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        4.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          It *is* true though (according to my middle school science teacher) that the future wars will be fought over water or something.

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        5.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          Bitcoin is similar to the Ark of Gold in that it exists outside the authority of humans. But because the ingress/egress is small relative to the Ark the tickets can inflate to insane prices.

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        6.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          From a theoretical standpoint it's also superior in portability and future events like asteroid mining of gold. A counter argument is that other crypto coins have huge market caps as well. It was not created by the God that created the Earth but the Satoshi who Died for Our Sins.

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        7.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          There is only one God but multiple Messiahs. While God can be trusted as the One and Only, there are multiple Pointing Fingers to choose from which disperses the focus/reliability of the asset.

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        8.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          From a technical standpoint ETH is pretty interesting. It's like being able to invest in the future World Computer (that currently doesn't really work that well) It's like investing in Google super early amirite, (and not AskJeeves)

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        9.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          Stopping here. TPR: Ark of Gold. Faerie dragon investor casts phase shift.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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        10.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          Also, ignore all financial advice from talking cats. If curious about asset rebalancing see:https://breakingthemarket.com/welcome/ 

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        11. End of conversation
        1.  🐈‏ @a_yawning_cat 27 Nov 2020

          It's interesting that development of the internet started off as a wartime communication contingency... Could support theories that crypto can "explode" in a similar way.

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