The question is how the current movement will make the middle voters lean. A mix of things have happened so it's hard to say if it helps or hurts Trump's chances.
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COVID has had major impact on the US economy, leading Trump to lose a major source of support. For now, his loss looks to be clear. He seems to be trying to copy Nixon, winning over the silent majority via law and order.
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Though, at the time Nixon was challenging the incumbent while Trump IS the incumbent. BLM also calmed down instead of escalating. The military clearly stood up to his efforts to use the military to shut down demonstrations.
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When he took a picture in front of the church w/ a Bible in hand, hoping to gain support from the religious community, his violent dispersal of peaceful protestors was met w/ strong backlash.
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Even though in 2016 people said he couldn't win and he did I still think he will lose 2020. Still, he hit on real problems in the US w/ blue collar Americans being unable to keep up w/ globalization, automation, and high tech development even if his solutions sucked.
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At the same time, Biden doesn't seem to know what to do either. END
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(Interesting to see how politics is discussed outside the U.S. through a Chinese lens. Though I don't really like political topics in general)
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End of conversation
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