With the current anti-racist movement, the democrats have started to play the card of identity politics but Trump has adopted a position tough on BLM. What do you 3 think the impact will be of this movement on the election?
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Also, for a lot of voters in bad shape, Trump is sort of a father figure. In his rhetoric he speaks for the oppressed and the mistreated. He might not be perfect, but has self confidence and a sense of commitment. With intensifying conflict, he speaks to their psychological needs
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BT: Even when Trump won he lost the popular vote and won by razor thin margin. In his 4 years, he has strengthened his base like a talk-show host would do instead of broadening it.
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Also, in 2016 Hilary was not well-liked to the point that Sander's supported voted for Trump and many democrats and independents just didn't vote. Biden does not inspire the same dislike. His problem is that his voters aren't excited for him.
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COVID has had major impact on the US economy, leading Trump to lose a major source of support. For now, his loss looks to be clear. He seems to be trying to copy Nixon, winning over the silent majority via law and order.
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Though, at the time Nixon was challenging the incumbent while Trump IS the incumbent. BLM also calmed down instead of escalating. The military clearly stood up to his efforts to use the military to shut down demonstrations.
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When he took a picture in front of the church w/ a Bible in hand, hoping to gain support from the religious community, his violent dispersal of peaceful protestors was met w/ strong backlash.
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Even though in 2016 people said he couldn't win and he did I still think he will lose 2020. Still, he hit on real problems in the US w/ blue collar Americans being unable to keep up w/ globalization, automation, and high tech development even if his solutions sucked.
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At the same time, Biden doesn't seem to know what to do either. END
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(Interesting to see how politics is discussed outside the U.S. through a Chinese lens. Though I don't really like political topics in general)
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End of conversation
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