Investing is like going into a forest and choosing a plant and betting that it’ll grow the most.
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There’s a variety to choose from. Trees, flowers, shrubs, bushes, vines, moss, fungi, even sections of the forest or the whole forest itself.
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Smaller plants grow faster but also die to being eaten. Trees die in less obvious ways as does the entire forest. Disasters like disease and fire can wipe out whole sections. Some trees benefit from fire.
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Flooding a plant with fertilizer and water kills it. There’s a limit to how much growth is possible.
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When you don’t care to understand plants and instead just view them through the lens of numbers and rates of return you lose out on this important information.
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All the resources concentrate into a few large forests, mutating them into large monstrosities. Like a chicken with 4 wings. Good for business. Cancer is also a good analogy. Growth for growth’s sake.
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This is an ecosystem of hypertumors. Tumors that feed off of other tumors and in time, become large enough to sustain their own hypertumors as well.
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There’s something grotesque about this. I think it’s because such a system squeezes out diversity. A natural landscape is beautiful because all the random elements fit together perfectly. Without raw diversity, there’s nothing to coalesce into beauty.
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If beauty is a culmination, then investment only succeeds when attention is focused on the ugly and underappreciated. The little seeds.
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Gardening, raising pets or children, starting a business. Anything that forces you to grow something beautiful from nothing. These hobbies probably help with investing.
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I can imagine a farmer appreciating the importance of anti-correlation for example. Locusts as black swans. Etc... a huge monocrop feels cancerous.
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