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15th Q is for @a_a_jackson: What is the most successful example of former insurgents breaking with criminality and illicit economic activities? How would that example apply to the #Taliban? #AFGPanel 33/n
1/n I'm struggling to (a) think of any super positive examples and (b) any modestly positive examples that would even really fit the Afghanistan context. One issue is that DDR very rarely works and even where rebels stop fighting, its a messy rollercoaster ride to reintegration
2/n To expect anything faster than generational change is unrealistic. Look at the IRA. Look at FARC. Etc.
I think you can look at Aceh and a few other contexts for success stories ... but I'm not sure Afg fits this mold
#AFGPanel
3/n However, it's not just the Taliban engaging in criminal activity. It's also the state/state actors!
So I'd reframe the question:
In a context where everyone is doing it, and everyone is profiting, what do you do? How do you cultivate rule of law under those cond? #AFGPanel
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