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_johnbye's profile
John Bye
John Bye
John Bye
@_johnbye

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John Bye

@_johnbye

UK
Joined April 2011

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    1. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

      John Bye Retweeted Prof Martin Neil

      Anti-vaxxers have been going wild over this paper from several HART members. But it misses a blindingly obvious explanation for the odd looking ONS data, ignores the data definitions, then manipulates the data to falsely claim the vaccines cause a (non-existent) spike in deaths!https://twitter.com/MartinNeil9/status/1466814347762671628 …

      John Bye added,

      Prof Martin Neil @MartinNeil9
      1.Our research team have now analysed the ONS England November mortality data. We conclude that despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness this conclusion is doubtful because of a range of serious inconsistencies and anomalies. See: http://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.14176.20483 … pic.twitter.com/PIkA4fVxBH
      Show this thread
      30 replies . 118 retweets 316 likes
      Show this thread
    2. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

      The data oddity that caught their eyes is a bump in deaths per 100,000 in unvaccinated people in each age group, soon after that group starts being vaccinated. But as the overall mortality rates show, there is NO spike in deaths during the vaccine rollout. So what's going on?pic.twitter.com/6736mAGcGf

      5 replies . 7 retweets 61 likes
      Show this thread
    3. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

      The paper's authors wrongly believe the vaccines are killing us, so they present the data like this. I replicated this graph from the raw ONS data, and it is correct. BUT it has an obvious explanation that doesn't involve claiming the ONS is deliberately miscategorising deaths!pic.twitter.com/c78CGzIsrE

      3 replies . 6 retweets 62 likes
      Show this thread
    4. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

      Let's plot that graph another way. Instead of looking at the % of people in the 60-69 age group who were vaccinated each week, let's look at the % of them who are still in the unvaccinated group at the end of each week. Here it is for 1st doses. Can you see what's going on yet?pic.twitter.com/q9L4r4EJNj

      5 replies . 6 retweets 60 likes
      Show this thread
    5. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

      It's even clearer for 2nd doses. When death rates in each age group peak, the population that's taking place in is small. Death rates in unvaccinated 60-69 year olds peaked when only 8.3% of people in that age group were unvaccinated. For single dosed people it's 2.5% or less!pic.twitter.com/VLXmd0E7ZG

      3 replies . 4 retweets 54 likes
      Show this thread
      John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

      This is a relatively small and unrepresentative group, which will be biased towards people who were too ill to get vaccinated at the time. Which probably explains why their death rates appear higher. Just 180 "extra" deaths a week produces that huge bump in death rates.pic.twitter.com/aLkwsmlkyH

      4:49 am - 4 Dec 2021
      • 7 Retweets
      • 58 Likes
      • Hinnack69 Ilya Kashnitsky John Volker Barthel Chris Oscar, Skeptic. Inventor of the Seesaw juan diaz Dr Kit Byatt greg brandeau
      4 replies . 7 retweets 58 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

          Of course, HART instead assume the data is faulty, and (having failed to read the data definitions, as usual) conclude that the vaccination status of people who die is systematically miscategorised. In fact, the definitions show the categories do exactly what it says on the tin:pic.twitter.com/Bxvaj0RT96

          2 replies . 6 retweets 67 likes
          Show this thread
        3. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

          HART then go a step further though. This has Joel Smalley’s grubby fingerprints all over it, as it creates a completely artificial baseline that assumes people die at a constant rate all year (!), and arbitrarily assigns every "excess" death in the unvaccinated to the vaccinated!pic.twitter.com/sGp8lqF1Lz

          3 replies . 5 retweets 71 likes
          Show this thread
        4. John Bye‏ @_johnbye 4 Dec 2021

          This produces an alarming looking graph that claims there's a HUGE spike in non-covid death rates immediately after vaccination. Which is, of course, complete and utter nonsense. Absolutely nothing in the ONS data they're using supports this false claim.pic.twitter.com/HZqnTW2JNW

          3 replies . 4 retweets 69 likes
          Show this thread
        5. End of conversation

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