I spent a humiliating amount of time learning how to make animated graphs, just to illustrate a fairly obvious point. “Forecasting s-curves is hard” My views on why carefully following daily figures is unlikely to provide insight. https://constancecrozier.com/2020/04/16/forecasting-s-curves-is-hard/ …pic.twitter.com/BqQrxlhCmi
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I've seen it, thanks

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You might notice that by the time it hits 50 the forecast becomes very stable, and you can predict easily. That's when I called Italy. The hard part about the Italy forecast was not the S-curve but the way Italian authorities made things worse by interfering with the curve.
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"Nasty little Buddhist"
Seeking via neuroscience and psychology informed dharma.