Look very closely at when lock down happens relative to peak contagion. Draw your own conclusions.https://twitter.com/oliverbeige/status/1242725214322135040 …
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Sorry, it's callous to say that. I say also I hope our fears were blown out of proportion and that this will be over soon.
Ehh I mean I was inquiring after a prediction market for outcomes the other day...
This actually seems like a scenario where they could be a big + as a forecasting mechanism, tho. Seeing disaster pred "markets" as distasteful betting on
is weak lol, is rly ensemble modeling.
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