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Prikvačeni tweet
If you're ever in Austin and want to talk over coffee or beer, let me know. I've got plenty of free time and crave intellectual conversation.
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At this stage, nobody really knows which candidates will be more competitive in the general election, including the opponents. We have vague clues at best. https://twitter.com/ZaidJilani/status/1225111620701106181 …pic.twitter.com/JkJgHlTlEI
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Daniel Kaufman proslijedio/la je Tweet
So many students suffer in school because of poor eyesight. Why can’t the government provide free correctional lenses to all public school students instead of spending much more on mitigating its lack’s side effects?
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Also, this pattern is not unique to any particular ideology. I've seen it where X="The US should deport every undocumented immigrant". I've seen it where X="The US should have open borders".
Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Common pattern that I wish had a name: Person A says, "I disagree with X" Replies are evenly split. Half say, "X is a strawman; nobody advocates X" Half say "X is good/true; you should accept X" And all these people seem to think that they're agreeing with each other.
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Lukewarm take: 'the Internet' refers to a single specific entity and is therefore a proper noun that should always be capitalized.
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Elective surgery mortality risk by day of the week. https://www.bmj.com/content/346/bmj.f2424 …pic.twitter.com/WUoIvbsJlE
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Twitter tip for productive disagreements: when debating someone, like their tweets as long as you sense they're being made in good faith. Even if you disagree with the particular argument or point. This keeps hostility low and makes them more likely to actually listen.
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One aspect of job automation that I think is under-discussed: how quality falls and consumers suffer. A robot doesn't have to be as good at a job as a human if it is sufficiently cheaper. See: automated call systems vs human operators.
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Daniel Kaufman proslijedio/la je Tweet
There is a kind of scientific dialectic that I often see which gives false weight to "new" theories. Here's an illustration: Step 1: There is a dominant theory that explains some data but not everything.
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*The exception is the 2014 Ebola outbreak, which turned out to be much worse than anyone initially anticipated.
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Most* pandemics I can remember turned out in retrospect to have been overhyped by the media. So I discount current coverage about Coronavirus. But this doesn't actually give me a way to recognize when the threat is serious. To me, real tigers look just like paper ones.
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Daniel Kaufman proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Daniel Kaufman proslijedio/la je Tweet
Pre-2010, 50g of crack-cocaine got you a mandatory minimum 10 years in prison. Post-2010, that threshold was raised to 280g, which resulted in this .... uhhh suspicious drug seizure graph.
#OMGraph#iteachmath h/t@JohnHolbein1 http://econweb.umd.edu/~tuttle/files/tuttle_mandatory_minimums.pdf …pic.twitter.com/IRwcCsk6tm
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That's not to say that those steps were good. In hindsight, we know many of those tough-on-crime policies caused more problems than they solved. Many should be reversed. But I'm not going to condemn people of that time.
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In that sense, it was actually a similar issue to global warming now - some problems in the present, but surety of drastic problems if the trend continued unabated. In that atmosphere, it's not surprising that politicians championed drastic steps.
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It's not just that crime was high - it's that crime had been consistently increasing for decades, and that the same escalating trend was happening all over the world. Most of the leading theorists gave explanations that implied crime would continue to climb indefinitely.pic.twitter.com/7J9loWUvrC
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I think that a lot of current the discourse about early 90's crime policy fails to understand the position people were in back then. Many of things we now understand could never have been known with the data available at the time.
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Daniel Kaufman proslijedio/la je Tweet
Since talk about R0's are going viral, I'll mention why I think the R0 is an interesting philosophy of science topic. While R0 is sometimes treated like a basic scientific constant (like Planck's constant or something), it's way different.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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