The AI Timelines Scam https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KnQs55tjxWopCzKsk/the-ai-timelines-scam … "AI projects are more impactful if it is, in fact, possible to develop AI soon. So, there is an economic pressure towards inflating estimates of the chance AI will be developed soon."
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Alexander Kruel je proslijedio/a tweet korisnika/ceRobin Hanson
"While the future may be uncertain, massive technological unemployment seems unlikely. The OECD estimates that 14% of jobs are at high risk of automation – significantly fewer than some researchers have argued."https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1154077099704983554 …
Alexander Kruel je dodan/na,
Robin HansonOvjeren akaunt @robinhansonOECD says: "We estimate that 14% of existing jobs could disappear as a result of automation in the next 15-20 years, and another 32% are likely to change radically as individual tasks are automated." Seems way high to me; who wants to bet? http://www.oecd.org/employment/Employment-Outlook-2019-Highlight-EN.pdf …1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđaPrikaži ovu nit -
"Where a computer might be stuck in an endless loop, iterating over infinite explanations, we use our value systems to quickly infer which explanations are both valid and likely."https://quillette.com/2019/09/25/the-human-skills-ai-cant-replace/ …
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If AI takes away all of our menial tasks, only the hard stuff is left. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/09/artificial-intelligence-will-make-your-job-even-harder/597625/ … As AI gets better at performing routine tasks traditionally done by humans, only stressful ones will be left. The work experience could suffer.
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Alexander Kruel je proslijedio/a tweet korisnika/ceChristian Hubicki
Embodied cognition.https://twitter.com/chubicki/status/1000457946734759936 …
Alexander Kruel je dodan/na,
Christian Hubicki @chubickiThis experiment of a fish swimming upstream is truly stunning. Why? The fish is dead. If you're streamlined and flexible, you can do a lot by doing nothing at all. Beal et al. (2006). Passive propulsion in vortex wakes. J. of Fluid Mech., 549, 385-402. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-fluid-mechanics/article/passive-propulsion-in-vortex-wakes/A431EC18AAEDA78CC6572FB62A249005 … pic.twitter.com/EDvHqjpGMD1 reply 0 proslijeđenih tweetova 3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđaPrikaži ovu nit -
Alexander Kruel je proslijedio/a tweet korisnika/ceRobin Hanson
"In terms of this z-score, and averaging over 832 kinds of jobs, automation has only increased ~0.1 standard deviation over the last 20 years."https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1184641885807267840 …
Alexander Kruel je dodan/na,
1 proslijeđeni tweet 4 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđaPrikaži ovu nit -
Alexander Kruel je proslijedio/a tweet korisnika/ceRobin Hanson
Might autonomous driving be AI-complete?https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1188975303705714694?s=19 …
Alexander Kruel je dodan/na,
Robin HansonOvjeren akaunt @robinhanson"boss of Ford acknowledges that the industry 'overestimated the arrival of autonomous vehicles'. Chris Urmson, a linchpin in Alphabet’s self-driving efforts (he left in 2016) … now talks of self-driving cars appearing gradually over the next 30-50 years" https://www.economist.com/leaders/2019/10/10/driverless-cars-are-stuck-in-a-jam …Prikaži ovu nit0 proslijeđenih tweetova 1 korisnik označava da mu se sviđaPrikaži ovu nit -
Alphabet's rebooted robotics program starts with trash-sorting machines https://www.engadget.com/2019/11/22/alphabet-xlab-everyday-robot/ … "The robots were able to learn the task through practice rather than having to have each part of the task hand coded."
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DeepMind’s MuZero teaches itself how to win at Atari, chess, shogi, and Go https://venturebeat.com/2019/11/20/deepminds-muzero-teaches-itself-how-to-win-at-atari-chess-shogi-and-go/ … MuZero means AI systems can learn the rules of games themselves.
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Will we ever have fully autonomous vehicles? Some reasons for pessimism …https://philosophicaldisquisitions.blogspot.com/2019/12/will-we-ever-have-fully-autonomous.html … > ...a combination of ethical, legal and strategic factors will encourage us not to make and market fully autonomous vehicles.
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Analysis of 1505 expert reports of job automation levels across 832 US job types, 1999-2019. No support for claims we are entering a trend-deviating revolution in levels of job automation, related job losses, or factors that predict job automation. http://overcomingbias.com/2019/12/automation-so-far-business-as-usual.html …
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Facebook has a neural network that can do advanced mathhttps://www.technologyreview.com/s/614929/facebook-has-a-neural-network-that-can-do-advanced-math/ …
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"Japan hopes that robots and automation will help solve its impending labor shortage. But businesses are finding that some jobs are remarkably difficult to outsource to a machine."https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/31/world/asia/japan-robots-automation.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes …
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Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen'https://www.thedrive.com/tech/31816/key-volkswagen-exec-admits-level-5-autonomous-cars-may-never-happen …
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