Who has generated a Darwin-level insight in biology in the past two decades?
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Replying to @LauraDeming
unlikely that a fields rate of discovery stays high over time right? very rarely do you see fields where constant systems level discoveries are happening routinely, outside of physics and that’s a whole other beast
2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes -
Replying to @WillManidis
Why should our prior be extrapolating from history here? Seems like an insanely complex thing to predict. Like, if new findings reveal new ways to make new tools that result in new observations...if the timelines to each shorten, why should things slow?
3 replies 1 retweet 21 likes -
Replying to @LauraDeming
it’s a fair question. my gut is there’s something innate about fields having initial periods of rapid discovery followed by diminishing returns. I think there’s a Nick Bloom paper on this. braking out of this is probably generationally important
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
If my incredibly poor recollection of the nick bloom paper which may or may not exist is correct: I think the assertion was the easiest way to fix this is to increase rate of creation of new fields to artificially stack these high productivity periods
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