Who has generated a Darwin-level insight in biology in the past two decades?
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Not even in physics! No confirmed new physics/paradigms since the 70s!
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lots of bad new ideas that seemed to be massive in the moment but have had limited staying power. Some weird hindsight bias on this one
End of conversation
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Why should our prior be extrapolating from history here? Seems like an insanely complex thing to predict. Like, if new findings reveal new ways to make new tools that result in new observations...if the timelines to each shorten, why should things slow?
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*rediscovers progress studies*
End of conversation
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