Daniel SwainOvjeren akaunt

@Weather_West

Climate scientist at , , and . Author of the Weather West blog. Approximately dry adiabatic.

Vrijeme pridruživanja: studeni 2013.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet

    Are scientists alarmist? Well, we're certainly alarmed. But that's different. The thing about shouting "fire" in a crowded theater is that it makes total sense if the theater is actually on fire. When it comes to , that's essentially where we are right now.

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    Where's the wind?!? You can see the incoming weather maker on this mornings satellite imagery, currently pushing into Oregon and Northern California. Winds will pick up late this afternoon across the region as the system moves in!

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    For all those wondering why the 'Medieval Warm Period' does not look warm, it is because the evidence suggests it was NOT a globally coherent event. Please update your understanding. (See: or )

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    Very strong, damaging NW-N wind event for Sun afternoon-early Mon. Gusts 50-70 mph most areas, isolated 80-90 mph. Downed trees, large tree limbs & powerlines, power outages likely, strong cross winds!

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    2. velj

    Hard to believe it is February 1st, and on scene of a brush fire in Peavine. Crews making good progress and expect containment soon.

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    Some spots recorded high temps for today. 81° which breaks the old record of 79° in 1954. 84° which breaks the old record 83° in 1995.

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    2. velj

    We hit a new unofficial record high at Reno-Tahoe International Airport today which breaks the record of 66°F set February 1, 1934! This is also the earliest in a calendar year that we have been this warm since Reno climate records began in 1888!

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    1. velj
    Screenshot of 6 line graph time series plots of climate change indicators from the UK Met Office
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    1. velj

    Fire generated thunderstorms are developing over a number of fires in south-eastern NSW. These are very dangerous for anyone nearby, including firefighters. You can learn more about these pyro-cumulonimbus clouds at

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    Today will be the warmest day of this winter so far. 80's will be widespread, even to the coast in spots. Some locations could reach 90 degrees. If you're into the warmth, enjoy it, because by Monday we're expecting to be between 20 and 30 degrees cooler!

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    On this week’s Factually, weather scientist Daniel Swain () joins me to talk about the ARkSTORM that flooded the West Coast and could come for us again, meteorology myths, and why weather science is one of the most fascinating fields on earth.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    New blog post: Temperature whiplash this weekend with sharp cold front, but little precip. Plus: February shaping up to be another drier-than-average month in California, but there may yet be some surprises.

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    1. velj

    A dry cold front will bring strong winds over the coastal waters and Bays. Winds to start increasing later today and are expected to peak tomorrow. These winds will generate steep waves creating hazardous conditions over the waters.

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    31. sij

    In a week where we see evidence of Thwaites melting from beneath & I begin my new US Scholar position at the Antarctic Research Centre, now this: ocean warming is key to driving past sea-level rise & destabilizing marine-based ice sheets. Our new paper:

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    30. sij

    Most major California dams lack emergency plans. ‘High-risk issue,’ state auditor says

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  16. New blog post: Temperature whiplash this weekend with sharp cold front, but little precip. Plus: February shaping up to be another drier-than-average month in California, but there may yet be some surprises.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij

    Locations in the Sierra Nevada starting to slip into a (~ <80% of median) with no major storms in sight for next 7-10 days. Meanwhile, a major recovery underway in the Cascades (Washington shown) with many sites above normal now.

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    Really enjoyed my conversation w/ on weather & climate--including some finer points of predicting the future in a warming world. Grateful to , & for their support, which allows me to have conversations like these!

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    Also: the apparently quite large effect of increased rain vs. snow partitioning is emerging *in addition* to changes in the intensity, frequency, & seasonality of precipitation as the climate warms--likely further amplifying future increases in flood risk.

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    Considering that storms are already warming along the West Coast, this is a pretty big deal.

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  21. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    New work by Frances Davenport reveals "exponential response of streamflow to rain/snow fraction over western U.S. ... [implying] large potential for continued warming to increase flood risk, even without changes in precip frequency, magnitude, or timing."

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