We will see. If inflation skyrockets and investment falls, or if the US economy comes in at less than 3%,yes, it would be a miscalculation. It would hamper US debt repayment and dampen consumer spending. One time employer benefits won't defray/cover the cost of the tax cut.
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Maybe there is inflation. But we measure it the wrong way (asset prices)
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What is often forgotten in this economic argument is that while yes, low interest rates boost commercialism, other segments suffer. Millions invest in 1% CD's with no protection against inflation. Insurance portfolios suffer. Notice new home building has suffered.
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the ratio of giving seed vs baby consumption should stay equal. but the volume should steadily increase until my death. the critical piece of the next 50 years is finding the right prince to split my clearances and responsibilities. my mercury is in my gemini rising. comptroller.
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The fed is being less aggressive than many traditional takes on the data would suggest, though. They seem to be, if anything, erring in a dovish direction from what models would have them do.
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Fed probably thinking they need to do something to counter the giant, unnecessary, purely political, stimulus package that was just passed
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