Even if predictions differ, preparing for the worst case scenario isn't a bad idea. 
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Typical for statistical analysis
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It will be worse even if Trump called off everything because he has roiled international markets and there is no assurance that he would not do so again in a fit of pique. Markets need predictable environments for the conduct of their business, not tariffs or tariff threats.
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Trump speaks the truth...Americans have been hurt by decades of Trade Deficits and Job Lossses to China, Mexico and others.
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