though idk if the relevant period is stelliferous or some part of it where a further condition obtains
-
-
or i mean, i don't actually know what zoo hypothesis predicts. but i mean hypotheses that predict the stars continue their natural evolution
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
looks like maybe science doesn't know what the relevant era is either https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.08448
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
btw i think the "presumptuous philosopher"-like argument you're making for lots of earthlike civs predicts lots of other weird stuff
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
if prior of being typical civ is zillions of times prior of being first, then prior for universe having secret civs out wazoo much higher
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
also almost certain a priori that 21st century like periods happen countless times in history of earth
2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes -
Can you spell this one out a little more? We seem young and alone, so if we're typical then either our hidden-from-each-other civilizations have short lives or they have short memories. Is that it?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
if "my hypothesis predicts more civilizations so it's more likely" is good reasoning then it should work for time too
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @VesselOfSpirit @preinfarction and
depending on how many 21st century like civilizations you can cram into history of earth and how unlikely that state of affairs is ofc
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @VesselOfSpirit @preinfarction and
but then maybe the earth is actually a lot older than it seems! there's not really a limit to the madness
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
that ensues if you use "let's act as if everything is way different from how it seems because then population is way way higher" principle
-
-
Replying to @VesselOfSpirit @preinfarction and
"there's no limit to the madness" isn't a real argument, of course. but maybe it is of heuristic intuition-building value
1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes -
having an abnormally difficult time understanding your points here, will ask questions later
0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.