I feel like "anthropics" has precisely as much explanatory power as "coincidence"; it's a last resort, and yeah insofar as it's metaphysical, twenty years of pondering it hasn't satisfied me
btw i think the "presumptuous philosopher"-like argument you're making for lots of earthlike civs predicts lots of other weird stuff
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if prior of being typical civ is zillions of times prior of being first, then prior for universe having secret civs out wazoo much higher
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also almost certain a priori that 21st century like periods happen countless times in history of earth
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