If you are interested in effective altruism, you should read this paper. Their estimate for the value of each N95 mask provided to a healthcare worker is *millions of dollars* of value. Our efforts to supply PPE are one of the most important things we can do in the world today.https://twitter.com/Jabaluck/status/1245748623083741186 …
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Replying to @WilliamAEden
That Math Can't Possibly Work. Almost as bad as the claim in causal decision theory that, in an election decided by one vote, millions of people each individually produced billions of dollars of value or disvalue. The total value is too much to distribute around.
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Replying to @ESYudkowsky
This is a marginal estimate, no one expects that to be true if you produce 1bn extra masks! If you check the paper they’re saying in expectation it’s a fraction of a life saved for a *HCW to not spread it to vulnerable patients*. For us as individuals it’s +$1000s to wear masks.
3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes -
Replying to @WilliamAEden @ESYudkowsky
i agree it's good when people wear masks, but i'm not convinced of the dollar number. for one thing, footnote 12 in
@jabaluck et al.'s paper quotes mortality risk as $60k per capita, but the source seems to say $60k per household (a factor of ~2.5 lower) https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3561244 …1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
also, the $60k average seems to require a large fraction of the population to be infected, and in that case, i'm not sure it's valid to multiply by a large factor for health care workers, because in that scenario don't they (and patients) probably get infected anyway?
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