The connection between dissent/heterodoxy and really effective/scalable altruism: when the systems that run the world really mess up, they tend to be stuck in a bad equilibrium where they punish individuals for pointing out the problem.
Video clip from @robertskmiles on Petrov:pic.twitter.com/zdlcRNaF7l
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Does it even make sense to talk about the probabilities of past counterfactuals that didn't happen?
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yes, obviously. I rolled a dice and estimated a 17% chance of it coming up as a '6'. However, it did not.
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