The connection between dissent/heterodoxy and really effective/scalable altruism: when the systems that run the world really mess up, they tend to be stuck in a bad equilibrium where they punish individuals for pointing out the problem.
Video clip from @robertskmiles on Petrov:pic.twitter.com/zdlcRNaF7l
in general i get the impression people don't think very critically about claims of nuclear close calls
-
-
(claims of large numbers of close calls are intrinsically improbable)
-
I don't think there is a large number of close calls. Wikipedia lists about 10. If each had a 5% probability of nuclear war, it's reasonable that we survived. And then there is some anthropic wiggle room if you believe in that stuff. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_close_calls …
- 10 more replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.