Yes, but it's reasonable to be skeptical of any expectations >90% or so that any given global catastrophic risk will be recoverable and not, in fact, part of an existential risk.https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/1112433917326295040 …
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Replying to @HiFromMichaelV
global warming as GCR seems clearly recoverable, especially if the median case already counts as a GCR. you may be right for cases like nuclear winter, though even there i don't know what the mechanism would look like for going from a billion people to zero people
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit @HiFromMichaelV
seems like if we recovered from the stone age we can recover from being bombed into the stone age and still having wikipedia
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit @HiFromMichaelV
(i think most global catastrophic risks are far less extreme than the world being bombed into the stone age)
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i can see there being effects like "decreased social order leads to mismanagement of technological risks" but that seems too indirect to add up to 10% and you'd have to consider effects the other way, e.g. increased caution, fewer actors left
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