gell mann amnesia: talking about fancy linear regression as if it's deserving of AGI-type containment methods doesn't inspire confidence in one's other positions
deepmind explicitly claims to be working toward AGI. that obviously doesn't mean they're close to succeeding, but they don't seem to think current techniques are mostly irrelevant to that prospect
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paul christiano seems to think AGI without a new paradigm is a possibility and he undeniably knows his stuffhttps://ai-alignment.com/prosaic-ai-control-b959644d79c2 …
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that post is a more elaborate version of the claim 'human brains implement general intelligence, we can build something like a human brain without needing to understand how it intelligence works at a fundamental level' which, (a) true, and (b) would require many new ML paradigms
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