"science fiction" bailey: if you worry about this, you're a foolish nerd who mistakes entertainment for reality motte: well all i'm saying is it hasn't happened yet and if it does happen it will be in the future rather than the presenthttps://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1105910937289015297 …
what makes you think a lot of the rationalist-sphere has a buzzword-happy science-fiction writer's level of understanding wrt AI other than that EY was overoptimistic about a research program 15-20 (?) years ago
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what makes you think the default assumption should be one of competence when there's a clear observed incidences of dunning-kruger style behavior (not just overoptimism, choosing the wrong tools for the job)?
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not sure about default assumption, but if i read their writings then i don't see where their claims depend on SF writer level understanding, nor does it seem to be the case that familiarity with current ML predictably makes people conclude these concerns are unserious
End of conversation
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