i mostly agree with this post and think it's disturbing that it had to be writtenhttps://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2019/01/11/climate-change-is-not-an-existential-risk/ …
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(i think it understates its case and 4-5 degrees of warming by 2100 is quite unlikely, but that's not as important)
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Replying to @DogOfPoasts
i'm not disputing that it will be pretty unpleasant. the estimates you linked are higher than i thought. note these are from pre-industrial baseline and what i said was ambiguous between pre-industrial baseline and current baseline. they're from AR4 which is not the most recent
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
the impression i get is under 3 degrees sensitivity is considered more likely by the median climate scientist than over 3 degrees, but i don't have hard evidence for that
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
this is a good discussion of sensitivity in the light of recent evidencehttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-015-0023-5 …
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(my understanding is recent more empirically based estimates have been more like 2-2.5 than 3, but people disagree about how strongly they're worth updating on compared to other evidence)
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