i mostly agree with this post and think it's disturbing that it had to be writtenhttps://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2019/01/11/climate-change-is-not-an-existential-risk/ …
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(i think it understates its case and 4-5 degrees of warming by 2100 is quite unlikely, but that's not as important)
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Replying to @DogOfPoasts
i'm not disputing that it will be pretty unpleasant. the estimates you linked are higher than i thought. note these are from pre-industrial baseline and what i said was ambiguous between pre-industrial baseline and current baseline. they're from AR4 which is not the most recent
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
the impression i get is under 3 degrees sensitivity is considered more likely by the median climate scientist than over 3 degrees, but i don't have hard evidence for that
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
my claim came from graphs like this https://static.secure.website/wscfus/8154141/dbaffd073fb0d1df4635a86581c05f89.png … plus the models iirc having an average 3.4 deg sensitivity plus likelihood of some sort of fix
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
anyway i don't think 4-5 deg warming by 2100 is super unlikely, just pretty unlikely
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idk i'm just a person who's read a bunch of stuff on the internet so don't take my word for it
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