i mostly agree with this post and think it's disturbing that it had to be writtenhttps://thingofthings.wordpress.com/2019/01/11/climate-change-is-not-an-existential-risk/ …
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(i think it understates its case and 4-5 degrees of warming by 2100 is quite unlikely, but that's not as important)
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
Oh, is this what you’re mad no one argued with you about? I’ll step in. The post mentions the concept of “war” only once, in a dismissive blockquote. Leaving aside the question of whether the war in Syria has anything to do with climate, the downstream political effects have...
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Replying to @complexifire @VesselOfSpirit
given plenty of reason to believe that a climate refugee crisis affecting hundreds of millions of people will carry great risk of nuclear war. A benevolent dictator of Earth might say “all of you may move to the underpopulated areas of Canada and Siberia!” But...
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Replying to @complexifire
well, it's not inconceivable, but there are many things that could decrease international stability that we don't normally think of as risks to the human species
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
Same page there technically, but this feels like telling the guy whose wife and kids got murdered and his business burned down “come on, you didn’t lose *everything*”
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Replying to @complexifire
nuclear war is really awful but the difference between nuclear war and human extinction is still enormous
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
OK, on that point, as opposed to “such destruction as has never been seen, and such a loss of our way of life as to be similar to death on most people’s utility curves”, you’ll get no argument from me
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Replying to @complexifire
my impression is even that requires a series of worst case assumptions
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Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
Well, mine is that it’s within the error bars and I’m not ok with that
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i think the error bars are less wide than you think though i don't think this is crucial to my argumenthttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-015-0023-5 …
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