suppose you have no idea when the bus goes and you're trying to figure out how bad it is to be at the bus stop one minute later
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"hmm well it's a gamble, it probably doesn't matter at all but if i'm unlucky it will cause me to have to take the next bus"
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"how should i characterize the effect this has on whether i'm late. is it virtuous or unvirtuous to take risks like this? is it right to be bold in the face of setbacks. normative rationality is complex and subtle"
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no, shut up, the effect is simply that you'll arrive at your destination one minute later
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a lot of moral philosophy is like this
6:41 AM - 26 Dec 2018
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