i think predicting anything multiple centuries ahead is silly. afaik though business as usual scenarios predict way less than 3-5 doublings
if you search rcp8.5 here https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z … it's clearly intended as worse than the median no mitigation scenario
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a lot of popular science presents it as the median no mitigation scenario, because it's the worst of the four and they're confused
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i haven't seen any explicit defense of rcp8.5 as typical from any experts, though i haven't looked hard
End of conversation
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