(2) seems to assume very high co2 emissions for a very long time, (3) talks about effects that are centuries or millennia away
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i've heard real emissions have been in line with rcp8.5 recently but i think most of its pessimistic assumptions are about the future
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if you search rcp8.5 here https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z … it's clearly intended as worse than the median no mitigation scenario
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oh sorry that's co2 not co2 equivalent
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Right - the RCP forecasts are CO2-eq, which is just under the ballpark of the CO2-eq projections for the different RCPs - https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/3e/All_forcing_agents_CO2_equivalent_concentration.png … . I'm confused about these numbers somewhere, and I strongly suspect Andy will know who to ask or have a link to explain.
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