what's the best rigorous case for the plausibility of runaway / extinction-level climate change?
-
Show this thread
-
the most relevant thing i've found is this https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Gary_Russell3/publication/256666715_Climate_sensitivity_sea_level_and_atmospheric_CO2/links/54e60be80cf277664ff20993.pdf …
3 replies 0 retweets 4 likesShow this thread -
which talks about large parts of the world becoming uninhabitable, but (1) seems to be based on a high earth system sensitivity estimate
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likesShow this thread -
(2) seems to assume very high co2 emissions for a very long time, (3) talks about effects that are centuries or millennia away
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @VesselOfSpirit
Do you see countries and individuals cutting back on emissions after the point where they are uninhabitable multiple months of the year? (See: Most of the Middle East.) My worry is that once we hit that point, they will give up and stop seriously trying to mitigate the impact.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @davidmanheim
i think predicting anything multiple centuries ahead is silly. afaik though business as usual scenarios predict way less than 3-5 doublings
2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
i think the worst effects under these assumptions mostly come when it's way too late
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.