Bayesian or not, this is closest to my feelings: https://twitter.com/SimonDeDeo/status/1011266703223816192 … IMO: we can't predict how GAI will look and what it will do. So how can we "prepare" for it? Focusing on preparing for a Paperclip Maximizer DOES assume Bayesianism.
i hear moore's law is still going if you measure it in computing power per dollar
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also apparently more gains have come from better algorithms than hardwarehttps://aiimpacts.org/trends-in-algorithmic-progress/ …
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Computing power alone isn't the entire story, density matters significantly for information processing. But yes, my assumption is that algorithms would be vastly more important than the hardware.
End of conversation
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"sound alarm"? 