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TroyTeslike's profile
Troy Teslike
Troy Teslike
Troy Teslike
@TroyTeslike

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Troy Teslike

@TroyTeslike

Tesla Delivery Estimates: Data-driven, accurate, free. Early access on Patreon Error Rate: • Q1 2020: -6.1% • Q2 2020: -1.4% • Q3 2020: +2.5% • Q4 2020: +1.7%

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patreon.com/posts/accuracy…
Joined June 2018

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    1. Troy Teslike‏ @TroyTeslike 31 Mar 2019

      Here are my estimates for Q1 2019: Production: 59,000 Model 3 16,800 Model S+X Total: 75,800 Deliveries: 52,000 Model 3 7,500 Model S 8,300 Model X Total: 67,800

      35 replies 15 retweets 124 likes
      Show this thread
      Troy Teslike‏ @TroyTeslike 3 Apr 2019

      Here are the results of my Q1 2019 estimates above:pic.twitter.com/dRXyRupPHA

      7:37 PM - 3 Apr 2019
      • 7 Retweets
      • 56 Likes
      • Nitu Daniel 🐆 David of Breizh 🐢 jack taylor Q3 Peak Fraud Capital Loca L Lobat ALT Tom hulibu اياد محمد
      9 replies 7 retweets 56 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Henry‏ @crazyhank 3 Apr 2019
          Replying to @TroyTeslike

          Great job! Question, why did they register 140k vins if only produced 70k cars? That gap is unlike in any other quarter before...would love your insight.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Troy Teslike‏ @TroyTeslike 3 Apr 2019
          Replying to @crazyhank

          Tesla is intentionally randomizing Model 3 VINs. Instead of assigning them sequentially they assign from multiple ranges at the same time, similar to somebody reading multiple chapters of a book at the same time. They only do this for the Model 3.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. FutureIsTesla‏ @FutureIsTesla 3 Apr 2019

          Let’s not forget Tom got it very close, on almost all the previous occasions

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation
        1. Elon's World‏ @ElonsWorld 3 Apr 2019
          Replying to @TroyTeslike

          Great job!

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Matthew Klippenstein‏ @ElectronComm 3 Apr 2019
          Replying to @TroyTeslike

          Very well done. I’m sure you were under pressure from bills and bears alike to bend your estimates to their preferences, so again - a most impressive result.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. jesse stroik‏ @j_stroik 3 Apr 2019
          Replying to @ElectronComm @TroyTeslike

          Yes, excellent estimates. Those s+x delivered numbers are shocking considering the price drops and discounts.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Nospin‏ @Nospin9 3 Apr 2019
          Replying to @TroyTeslike

          Nicely done Troy

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Kirk Burgess‏ @kirkburgess 3 Apr 2019
          Replying to @TroyTeslike

          Nice estimate!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Alex‏ @alex_avoigt 4 Apr 2019
          Replying to @TroyTeslike

          Excellent job Troy! Thanks for your hard work.

          0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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