Oh definitely. But we are losing the ability to even pretend we do.
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I think people generalize too much on this. My paradigms have held up pretty well for decades. Not all of them, but many. Most people don't put in the work necessary to have functional changing paradigms.
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Definitely, but the problem now is that we're ending up in a place where your paradigms have to integrate data that can't possibly be computed.
If things keep on accelerating, they will accelerate right off every map. Being mostly right cuts it for some tasks, but not for others.
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it's actually quite easy to predict acceleration, it's just that most humans are bad at it. But you can make yourself good at it. For example, scientists are now saying 40 years for catastrophic sea level rises -- my internal model for 2 decades.


