Former can only work with subsidiarity.
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Europe as a political entity will either be united, or will not be at all. Only a united Europe can be a sovereign Europe.
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"Hey let me make up a fictive premise to make my statement tautologically true," is what that looks like to me.
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That's true. But while tautologically correct, it still wouldn't work unless every power that could/should be devolved, was so.
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I mean, I can also make the following statement: "Europe will lack unified leadership unless it crowns me emperor," but...