Let's see. No, no, ... and no.
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Have sanctions ever achieved regime change at any point in the post-WW2 era?
I was going to ask “achieved the goal,” but I’m not sure what the real goal of sanctions actually is …
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In my understanding they're a land-grab—one nation-state literally appropriates the property of another.
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US sanctions their most effective weapon of mass destruction, kill count in low 10s of millions.
Way of committing war crimes without declarations of war.
And they're now employing it in a way that will cripple their own bloc.
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EU forced to remilitarize, spelling long-term death of NATO; sanctions vs Iran lifted by force; petrodollar evaporating; global wheat and fertilizer markets months from pandemonium; China and Russia forcibly aligned; Germany desperately defecting on gas sanctions.
Yes, cripple.
Well, less the material damage done to the West (though, very much not looking forward to the inflation & shortages), more the near-term upending of US-led world order.
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I'd be more enthusiastic if I didn't, y'know, live here.
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