The Amazon is burning. Combined with the fact that the permafrost is melting, this may be the year we look back and say "oh yeah, that's when human extinction became inevitable."
Meanwhile, I am following the Campbell award controversy. Campbell was a racist dick. Important.
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While it’s certainly likely that the extinction of modern civilization is likely, followed by a population bottleneck, the near-term extinction of the species is not as certain. We’re a lot like pigeons, rats and cockroaches. We’ll be scraping by for a while longer.
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Replying to
Oh, I don't put the odds at 100%. I do put them at "no longer trivial." As a long time gamer I know you can roll 20% when you really don't want to.
Or even 1%.
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Lost a nonzero number of Blood Bowl matches from rolling 1/1000 outcomes. Two turns in a row.
I've only played a few hundred.
We are playing a very dangerous game with the planet.
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still remember a friend creating a character in Runequest. Enemy crit impales him to the head first roll, a less than 1% chance.
Boy, he was not happy.
(This is why GMs have screens, to cheat FOR the players, not against. I always said, "dude you don't want to see my rolls.")
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Yeah, I remember my 1st experience GMing in DnD. Entire party got their butts kicked by a pair of bugbears.
Had to prevent one guy from literally just getting offed in one turn.
But I'd be very surprised if our planet has a GM protecting it from crits.
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My first player experience, OTOH, had a GM with a more sadistic streak.
I rolled a fumble with my ranger and he broke his own hand!