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I don't think this gives sufficient credence to the fact that most of the players who were relevant in establishing the current order are a decade at most from biting it (Kissinger, the immortal ghoul, excepted).
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I'll make you a bet. Year from now, unless there's another major war (not just mission creep for the drone program, but troop deployments, sieges etc.), AOC is the most popular politician in the US. Sheer tech acceleration in action.
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It's not about the bench as much as the state of play. AOC is not remotely close to being the only threat to the established order. How many pieces do you need to take off the board before attrition kicks inc? A lot. How many before someone else scores? Well, a lot fewer.
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Disagree. The CIA pretty much had to murder and subvert and subject their way through the entire US left to take them out during the cold war. Their ops against the left were far more effective than their ops against the commies, and it shows, but when your architects die...
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Sorry to say, but I think a US take on collectivism would be just about as deranged as the Soviet and Chinese ones have been.
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But yes, more serious guesstimation is a UK-like state of permanent paranoia and delusions of grandeur readily falsified by any serious examination of reality.
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Fair enough. I'm mostly just gesticulating around some observations, here, as I've said multiple times. Exception being the point about climate vs. politics. I think people are massively overvaluing the political aspect, like, everywhere.