One characteristic of frauds is a tendency to speak authoritatively on matters outside their area of expertise.
Only someone who doesn't understand climate feedbacks believes it can be "managed" by putting smart dudes "in charge".
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The cascades are gonna hit us for centuries either way, no?
No avoiding that.
Not big on the authority model, either, but I do see the merit of engineering practical solutions.
Personal characteristics, well... that's another story.
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Obviate major sources of pollution, for one thing.
Pretty high percentage of this that is just down to embedded corruption, but I don't know that we have time for a revolution. That's issue nr. 1.
The important missing link is that we have a lot of issues of tech suppression.
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If we're only getting the right tech when certain cartels feel like making money off it, that's going to kill us.
What's your model for what to do (or not do)?
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There is also pretty clear second-order effects of any sort of ecological collapse:
Bunch of technical debt going to be paid for in full, and a lot of need for new solutions for all kinds of current tech.
Those are almost certainly engineering problems + (very) local politics.
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While climate scientists are almost certainly right about a lot of the bigger picture stuff, a lot of models will be inadequate with this amount of cascades.
Another engineering problem.
(Again, I think the God-Emperor Musk stuff is garbage. But we'll have to face this.)
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My model what to do/not
- no geoengineering
- no tech (e.g. nuclear) that burdens future generations
- rapid carbon phase-out
- reduce population
- solar/wind
- simplify lifestyles
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Pretty sure "reduce population" will happen as a result of mass starvation if we don't get our act together.
Probably regardless.
Solar, too, will happen, I think.
Other than that, yeah, pretty much. Feels like wanting to fight the tide.
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This implies that power output and storage capacity is only ever going to be 1-1 with demand in daytime, which seems technically wrong from what I can tell.
Add wind and water power, and you're getting somewhere.