One characteristic of frauds is a tendency to speak authoritatively on matters outside their area of expertise.
Only someone who doesn't understand climate feedbacks believes it can be "managed" by putting smart dudes "in charge".
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The cascades are gonna hit us for centuries either way, no?
No avoiding that.
Not big on the authority model, either, but I do see the merit of engineering practical solutions.
Personal characteristics, well... that's another story.
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Obviate major sources of pollution, for one thing.
Pretty high percentage of this that is just down to embedded corruption, but I don't know that we have time for a revolution. That's issue nr. 1.
The important missing link is that we have a lot of issues of tech suppression.
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If we're only getting the right tech when certain cartels feel like making money off it, that's going to kill us.
What's your model for what to do (or not do)?
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There is also pretty clear second-order effects of any sort of ecological collapse:
Bunch of technical debt going to be paid for in full, and a lot of need for new solutions for all kinds of current tech.
Those are almost certainly engineering problems + (very) local politics.
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While climate scientists are almost certainly right about a lot of the bigger picture stuff, a lot of models will be inadequate with this amount of cascades.
Another engineering problem.
(Again, I think the God-Emperor Musk stuff is garbage. But we'll have to face this.)
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My model what to do/not
- no geoengineering
- no tech (e.g. nuclear) that burdens future generations
- rapid carbon phase-out
- reduce population
- solar/wind
- simplify lifestyles
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Alas, even if we did all of the above yesterday, we've baked in several °C of warming
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My best guess - and it is a guess - is we will not have a fraction of the safeguards we could have in place, and in any case they'dbe inadequate.
Millions or billions die because our supply lines break, and there is almost no redundancy or independency in the system.
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If anything, this will do more to slow climate change than any current activity. Fossil fuels require too much industry to sustain at scale.
Again, all a guess. But unless I die young I suppose I'll find out.
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