The world has seen absolutely no meaningful technological progress in my lifetime - all we've had are faster and smaller computers, bigger networks, slightly more efficient machines and medicines. No true breakthroughs, no world-changing discoveries.
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It raises the question - are the barriers to advancement intrinsic or extrinsic? Is it something we are doing wrong as a society, or have we simply plucked all the low-hanging fruit available to us? Have we hit a natural or artificial plateau?
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The sciences have certainly become highly moribund, but its very hard to demonstrate causation - if we HAD hit an inherent barrier to further advancement, it would make sense that resources would end up going to making small evolutionary improvements to existing frameworks.
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Sebastian Milbank 🥀 a retweeté
A number of people have made this point, but I think they're missing the fact that there's a difference between building on previous achievements and living off them. Stagnation often looks like continued success on the surface. https://twitter.com/FakeMontanan/status/1264682615413637129?s=20 …
Sebastian Milbank 🥀 ajouté,
Ce Tweet est indisponible.10 réponses 6 Retweets 80 j'aimeAfficher cette discussion -
Lots of people have also listed inventions that they tell me will change the world within my lifetime. That may be true, but if I'm right I would expect such advances to go un- or under-utilised. I suspect we may see the usual over-promising and under-delivering.
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Worth noting that Tyler Cowen's 'The Great Stagnation' came out nearly ten years ago and so far it looks pretty prophetichttps://www.theguardian.com/business/2011/feb/13/will-hutton-innovation-must-be-encouraged …
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En réponse à @JSMilbank
It's a matter of distinguishing technological progress from paradigmatic scientific breakthroughs. Recent decades have brought not so much of the latter, but lots of the former. But the techno progress has nonetheless had qualitatively momentous implications.
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Humanity goes centuries between paradigmatic scientific breakthroughs. Calling a gap of 30 years stagnation is naive. Further, the development of the Internet has not only changed life as significantly as the Industrial Revolution did, but also our perception of the world.
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Smart fella right here. He gets it
0 réponse 0 Retweet 0 j'aimeMerci. Twitter en tiendra compte pour améliorer votre fil. SupprimerSupprimer
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