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Tom_Fowdy's profile
Tom Fowdy
Tom Fowdy
Tom Fowdy
@Tom_Fowdy

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Tom Fowdy

@Tom_Fowdy

North Korea and China Analysis @ChollimaOrg Alumni: @UniofOxford @durham_uni @HKUniversity. Mandarin, Japanese and Korean speaker. Travel enthusiast, #safc fan.

大韩民国
tomfowdy.com
Joined January 2018

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    Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

    If there is a new Cold War environment, its shaping up to be the "Five Eyes" + certain partnered countries, against China, rather than specifically all of Europe (with many countries not on board). The old Atlantic centric view of the first Cold War against the USSR doesn't fit.

    12:50 PM - 6 Jul 2020
    • 25 Retweets
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    • Animallover Hypocrisy Watch Stephen Kalil Blake Swan Felipe Nie 🇨🇳🇧🇷🇵🇰 Marvin LFC * NZSg waterfall8888@urbanlife Tom🌈🐱 🇨🇳 🌈🐱 🇭🇰
    8 replies 25 retweets 114 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

        It's not so much China vs. the entire west as it is China vs. The Anglosphere and certain countries who follow suit with it. It's a completely different strategic, economic and political environment. Again historical comparisons to the one with the Soviet Union don't fit.

        2 replies 2 retweets 30 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

        Led by the U.S, it's the Anglosphere who are driving the anti-Huawei push, and it's the Anglosphere who are most engaged in the Hong Kong issue. The European Union has not made any anti-China initiatives as this new environment has unfolded.

        2 replies 2 retweets 24 likes
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      4. Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

        In assessing the broader strategic environment, China should realize squarely now that whilst countries such as Germany and France may have value led expectations of Beijing, these countries are not actually enemies in the way the US, Australia have positioned themselves, etc

        1 reply 2 retweets 26 likes
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      5. Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

        China's biggest objective should be to ensure no more bridges with Europe are burnt, to offer the European Union more concessions, leighway and dialogue and ultimately ensure Pompeo's "transatlantic awakening" does not succeed in pulling them over.

        2 replies 2 retweets 29 likes
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      6. Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

        The anti-China coalition emerging is as follows: -U.S, Canada, New Zealand (reluctantly), Australia, UK (reluctantly) -India (strategically tilting) -Japan -Taiwan

        12 replies 11 retweets 46 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

        Given this, it's also worth noting that the U.S side is far smaller and in relative power terms, also far weaker than the first Cold War. The ability of Washington to decipher to this has added to some miscalculations.

        1 reply 1 retweet 23 likes
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      8. Tom Fowdy‏ @Tom_Fowdy 6 Jul 2020

        Whilst the cold war is not ongoing on clear cut ideological terms, the size of a potential "China bloc" or "sphere of influence" is already be far, far bigger than the Soviet one. These votes at the United Nations ought to serve as a warning to the Anglosphere.

        3 replies 3 retweets 26 likes
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      9. End of conversation
      1. Kili wear mask!‏ @Amdinvestorblog 6 Jul 2020
        Replying to @Tom_Fowdy

        Germany, Italy, France and Spain are not joining..

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. kuantan goh‏ @KuantanGoh 7 Jul 2020
        Replying to @Tom_Fowdy

        The world economy will determine which way the wind http://blow.US  has abt 106% debt to GDP ratios while Japan has 260 %. Japan’s throat is held by US all the time while it’s economy closely intertwined with China.Recession will do great damages to US and Japan.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. kuantan goh‏ @KuantanGoh 7 Jul 2020
        Replying to @KuantanGoh @Tom_Fowdy

        US and Japan have to print more money to pay its debt provided other are willing to share their burden.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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