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"Charming, practical and insightful" –
@TimHarford “Reading this book is strongly correlated with not looking stupid" –@helenlewis "Vital, clear, elegant" –@Sathnam "Quite good" –@tomchivers How To Read Numbers, by me &@dave_chivers, out March 18! http://hyperurl.co/HowToReadNumbers …pic.twitter.com/09ZKVKI10k
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I retweeted the image of this armour the other day ("wounded?!"), so it only seems fair to share this fascinating and sad account of the real event.https://twitter.com/ProfTonyPollard/status/1478657153024114693 …
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Tom Chivers Retweeted
example of the category "things that horrify statisticians but seem arbitrary to everyone else" https://twitter.com/TayaCollyer/status/1478503264047882240 …pic.twitter.com/Gs8breBtj1
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Tom Chivers Retweeted
Imagine if they had parents evening at uni
Mom: how’s my dear son doing ?
Lecturer: I’ve never seen this man in my lifeShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Tom Chivers RetweetedThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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extremely unfunny tweet but I do wish Americans would use proper descriptions of famous events rather than just the date, so that we don't have to remember which particular disaster happened when. "That time Jamiroquai invaded Congress" would be fine
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no, in fact it's still the 5th so it's not even started yetpic.twitter.com/73hqFbEqZ4
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In which I make a series of objective, falsifiable predictions for 2022, so that you can all laugh at me in 2023 about how wrong I was. I've included
@metaculus links so you can all have a go as well!https://unherd.com/2022/01/my-predictions-for-2022/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Tom Chivers Retweeted
I’ve been thinking a lot about that recent Hari piece on attention and tech. There’s been something bugging me about it that I haven’t been able to put my finger on, but I think I’ve got it now. And to be fair, it’s a problem that I see in most trashy pop psych books as well. /1
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Tom Chivers Retweeted
I’m trying to be more virtuous, so I made some falsifiable predictions for 2022 and created
@metaculus questions for them all so you could have a go too. Let’s reconvene next January and see how we did!https://unherd.com/2022/01/my-predictions-for-2022/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Meta-prediction: I won’t do very well (confidence 75%) Some of the metaculus links are still broken so I’ll chase them up this morning
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Tom Chivers Retweeted
This cracking
@FullFact role closes tomorrow AM Deputy Editor: oversee the day-to-day publication of fact checks, ensuring deadlines and targets are hit and manage our production pipeline. Up to £45k Remote first with a central London office availablehttps://fullfact.teamtailor.com/jobs/1488471-deputy-editor-maternity-cover?promotion=322735-trackable-share-link-twitter …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
I’m trying to be more virtuous, so I made some falsifiable predictions for 2022 and created
@metaculus questions for them all so you could have a go too. Let’s reconvene next January and see how we did!https://unherd.com/2022/01/my-predictions-for-2022/ …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Tom Chivers Retweeted
Many have heard about the fast decline in extreme poverty in China over the last generation. But there are many other less well-known examples of such progress. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/poverty-share-living-on-less-than-190-int-per-day-slope?country=CHN~IDN~PAK~VNM~CPV~GMB~BFA~MMR~NPL~GIN …pic.twitter.com/RoBQ8tHvTK
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Tom Chivers Retweeted
"wounded"?????????????https://twitter.com/TheFigen/status/1478088634683334666 …
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Tom Chivers Retweeted
Interest in what's going on with Covid in South Africa has disappeared, but FYI cases are declining in every single province and hospitalisations are now also declining in seven out of nine. https://unsupervised.online/static/covid-19/estimating_r_za.html?utm_source=lrossouw.github.io&utm_medium=link&utm_campaign=moved#51_National …pic.twitter.com/EMSQ7AjfWP
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Tom Chivers Retweeted
Happy
#ScienceFictionDay! A great day to check out@StuartJRitchie's "Science Fictions" - packed with insight on the statistical tricks (and other sharp practice) that undermine the search for scientific truth.https://www.amazon.co.uk/Science-Fictions-Negligence-Undermine-Search/dp/1250222699 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
I see J*hann H*ri is in the news again, with an extract from his new book. This thread about the last time he had a book out is worth reading; I missed it at the time. FWIW, I think JH should not be treated as a trustworthy source, as I wrote back in 2011 https://tommychivers.wordpress.com/2011/09/19/we-lefties-shouldnt-be-so-quick-to-forgive-johann-hari/ …https://twitter.com/garwboy/status/1352648404980162566 …
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(my own experience is of people saying "why doesn't the media cover IMPORTANT stories like THE FAMINE IN YEMEN" and foreign reporters grumpily saying "we did bloody cover it and none of you read it, you all read the stuff about culture wars and celebrities")
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I think I agree w/
@mattyglesias that the media is bad (negative, sensationalist, trivial, bias-confirming) mainly because audiences are bad & want to read negative, sensationalist, trivial, bias-confirming stuff https://www.slowboring.com/p/media-negativity … TL;DR: sorry guys but it's all your faultShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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